Monday, 13 July 2015

Sadiq Gill - BJP accuses AAP of spreading anarchy

A day after ruling Aam Aadmi Party MLA Manoj Kumar was arrested in a land grabbing case, the Delhi unit of Bharatiya Janata Party on Friday accused the AAP Government of spreading anarchy and posed five questions to Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal regarding the conduct of his colleagues.

Seeking action against AAP legislators allegedly involved in corruption and other cases, Delhi BJP president Satish Upadhyay asked Mr. Kejriwal how former Law Minister Jitender Singh Tomar’s bogus degree and Mr. Manoj Kumar’s cheating case had escaped the dragnet if the party’s internal Lokpal had inquired into the credentials of all MLAs.

Mr. Upadhyay said at a press conference here that the appointment of 21 Parliamentary Secretaries by the Delhi Government was illegal, while the General Administration Department had expressed ignorance in an RTI reply about the rules under which they had been appointed. He said the BJP was exploring legal options to challenge the decision.

“The ABC of Mr. Kejriwal’s party stands clear now. It is anarchy, bogusness and cheating,” said Mr. Upadhyay.

The Delhi BJP chief said several AAP MLAs, including Assembly Speaker Ram Niwas Goel, were involved in various cases, but no action had been taken against them. “Have you asked Mr. Tomar and Mr. Kumar to quit the Assembly, as you had said that AAP would withdraw any MLA candidate against whom such charges were revealed,” Mr. Upadhyay asked the Chief Minister.

He also asked if the internal Lokpal had been told to inquire into Mr. Kumar’s matter, which was well in the party's knowledge, as admitted by AAP leader and lawyer H.S. Phoolka who has reportedly claimed that the MLA was cooperating in the police inquiry.

Referring to some other controversies, Mr. Upadhyay sought to know if Mr. Kejriwal would ask the Delhi Police to arrest MLAs Akhilesh Tripathi and Sanjeev Jha who had “started an anarchy phase” and Promila Tokas who was accused of assaulting a Scheduled Caste woman.

Tuesday, 7 July 2015

Sadiq Gill - Swaziland Court Releases Two Imprisoned for Criticism of Judiciary

Washington


In response to Swaziland’s Supreme Court ordering for the release of human rights lawyer Thulani Maseko and journalist Bheki Makhubu, imprisoned after the publication of articles critical of the country’s judiciary, Freedom House issued the following statement:

"The imprisonment of Maseko and Makhubu violated their rights to a fair trial and freedom of expression,” said Vukasin Petrovic, director of Africa programs. "The Supreme Court's decision to release the two is encouraging but we should remember the political prisoners and prisoners of conscience who remain imprisoned in Swaziland."

Background: 

Thulani Maseko and Bheki Makhubu were convicted for contempt of court in July 2014 and sentenced to two years in prison after publishing a series of articles examining the independence of the judiciary in Swaziland.

Swaziland is rated Not Free in Freedom in the World 2015 and Not Free in Freedom of the Press 2015.

Freedom House is an independent watchdog organization that supports democratic change, monitors the status of freedom around the world, and advocates for democracy and human rights.

Join us on Facebook and Twitter (freedomhousedc) and Instagram. Stay up to date with Freedom House’s latest news and events by signing up for our RSS feedsnewsletter and our blog.
 
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Sunday, 5 July 2015

'On its own, no military can deal with political problems'

Columnist and security analyst Ejaz Haider analyses the role of the military in shaping the contours of state policy and direction.

* * *
The News on Sunday (TNS): You have always held state as your unit of analysis. In Pakistan’s context, the state has been understood in terms of ‘security state’ or ‘deep state’. Howsoever one may define it, the fact remains that in today’s Pakistan, state is not the only entity that has monopoly over violence. Is it time for the state to redefine itself.
Ejaz Haider (EH): Yes, I have used, and still do, state as the unit of analysis. But I do it with the full knowledge and appreciation of the fact that state is a deeply problematic concept and it has been problematised. What is it; where can one situate it; what is its relation to society that it seeks to govern; is it about the traditional notion of power, defined as ‘power over’, or the more inclusive, though less-accepted concept of ‘power with’; is it nothing more than the people or does it acquire a life of its own; do we need to ‘bring the state back’ or push it away; is the relationship between state and society always conflictual or should it be cooperative. The list of such questions is long. It is important also to challenge the accepted epistemological notions regarding state and its role, especially because we know that it is an imagined entity.
And yet, I employ it as the basic unit of analysis precisely for the reason contained in the second part of your question — i.e., “…the fact remains that in today’s Pakistan, state is not the only entity that has monopoly over violence”. And when you follow it up with, “Is it time for the state to redefine itself”, I assume that you believe that the loss of state’s monopoly of violence is not a positive development, that such loss has not redounded to the advantage either of the state or society. At the same time, the follow-up question’s not-so-hidden assumption is whether there is any possibility for state-society relations to improve, which is a legitimate concern.
I’ll say that one, though not the only reason, the state of Pakistan has seen an erosion of its monopoly of violence is because of rising tensions between itself (state) and society. Mending that relationship is, in fact, crucial for state to reacquire what is legitimately its.
Every collection requires an organising principle. Even anarchists, were they to sit down to decide on a political course of action, would need to elect a chair. Once you do that, you create a hierarchy and hierarchies, like it or not, begin to lead to exactly the same structures that an anarchist would like to pull down. That’s the paradox. And it must be understood.
Golding did an experiment with schoolchildren. He marooned them on an island in his dystopian 1954 work, Lord of the Flies. Within days we see the emergence of power structures and the associated “evils”. So, the question is, if an organising principle is important and if it is accepted that every such principle will end up creating what it originally seeks to destroy, then does it make much sense to uproot that organising principle and create a vacuum rather than using it as the unit of analysis even as one continues to hold its power in check?
My answer is scattered in hundreds of article I have written over several years. I will critique, criticise, challenge the functioning of the principle but I find it fallacious to huff and puff and bring the house down and then have to work again to construct another one, much the same way.
TNS: Military is believed to be a major player in agenda setting. Apart from external threats, it is also guarding against internal weaknesses because the political class and the democratic system are believed to be too weak or corrupt or inept. Do you think the military has the capacity and capability to take on this huge charge and deliver too?
EH: The military is a major player in setting the agenda but it is also stretched and stressed. The irony is that what we, including the military, are passing through, is, for the most part, the doing of the military. I do realise that it is not always useful to hark back to the original sin but that said, it is important to keep things in perspective. The military has continued to weigh in on issues that should best be left to the civilian principals. Its argument for doing so is operational rather than strategic. To that extent, given the immediacy of the circumstances, one can be empathetic. Something needs to be done and the military is efficient enough to do it so let’s let it do it. The problem is that we then begin to conflate the operational and the immediate with the strategic and the normative. That is deeply flawed.
While there are institutional interests involved, there is also the factor, less talked about, of military’s frustration with civilian inefficiency. There is a kernel of truth in it but the argument is not very savvy. The politicians are a fractious lot, for sure but then that’s what politics is about. Equally, it is the politicians that are deft with aggregating conflicting and often contradictory interests. The military’s managerial efficiency runs contrary to political haggling. The two entities could not be more different. The problem is that problem-solving is not the same thing as optimising results. So, even when the military seeks to work diligently, it ‘satisfices’, like all organisations. This is why it is important for it to remain subservient to the overall directions given by the civilian governments and to act in concert with them. The military is the most potent coercive tool in state’s arsenal. It must, therefore, be used sparingly and in ways which result in optimisation. On its own, no military, however efficient, can deal with political problems.
TNS: After the APS attack in Peshawar, some extraordinary steps were announced to fight the enemy, e.g. military courts. You had argued against the military courts calling them “knee-jerk measures”. Considering that incidents of terrorism have not stopped, do you still hold on to your view?
EH: I was and remain opposed to military courts. There are many reasons for my opposition, which I have listed in my writings. But just to recap some, the issue of poor prosecution, ostensibly the reason for setting up military courts, is not about what a judge does or doesn’t do. In a trial, the judge is as good or bad as the prosecution is. If that is how it works then unless the military can also provide from among its ranks thousands of prosecutors — which it can’t — it doesn’t matter if you put someone in uniform in the judge’s chair instead of the black robes. Also, higher courts have tended to overturn verdicts by ATCs because the anti-terrorism courts tend to overlook the fine print of law. There is also the issue of deterrence. If we want to prosecute and sentence to death terrorists, then it is legitimate to ask the question of why the over hundred death-row prisoners that have been hanged to death by now have such high percentage of those who were involved in murders, even if they were sentenced by ATCs. Why have we stopped executing hardcore terrorists. Why did the Interior Ministry put out a notification that it was lifting the moratorium on death sentence overall without informing the Ministry of Foreign Affairs or consulting with it. I do not believe in the absolutism of those who are opposed to the death sentence per se, though I respect their views and I think they have some very strong arguments. But equally I find it abhorrent that others should take pleasure in hanging people by the neck till they die, as if taking someone’s life is a mere trifle, which it is not.
I realise that there is a sunset clause for military courts. But I believe that too many of us conceded to the 21st Amendment too soon and too easily. The Amendment is an act now but that should not stop us from continuing to debate the issue.
TNS: Some people suggest the state is correcting its course. How satisfied are you with the National Action Plan both as a short-term counter-terrorism strategy and as course correction in the long term?
EH: The NAP, as general guidelines go, is a fair document. It lists problem areas which many of us have been identifying for a long time. There is also a sense in the government that course correction is important. The scepticism is about implementing the NAP. Some of that is justified. My own sense is that implementing mechanisms must target strategic areas which can also have spin-off benefits in areas that are not targeted directly. That is always the challenge and the opportunity.
TNS: The reaction on social media after Sabeen Mahmud’s murder and the hinting of involvement of one particular agency shows the army has a serious image problem. Is it aware of this problem and is it doing something about it?
EH: The army is aware of the problem but while we tend to focus on the problem on army’s side, we ignore, to our own peril, the problem on the side of the people. By no stretch of the imagination can anyone accuse any person or entity without proof. Yet, that’s exactly what happens when something like this occurs. I think while the army needs to look into the problem on it side, the people need to look at their knee-jerk reactions and non-sequiturs also. Unfortunately, often, these illogical reactions emanate from very educated people.
TNS: In one of your earlier interviews, you had argued that counter terrorism in urban areas is not the job of army but the police. What do you think of the Rangers and army’s attempts to bring peace to Karachi?
EH: The apex committee dealing with Karachi brings together the civil-military leadership and reps from all law enforcement agencies. That coordination is called for. That said, the most effective agency dealing with urban CT operations has to be the police. I have written a lot about this basic fact. My argument doesn’t go against Rangers or the army. Combined efforts are important. But the lead agency must be the police. As for how to make the police effective, that’s another topic.

Thursday, 2 July 2015

Sadiq Gill - Symbols of Anarchy

There are many symbols of anarchism including cats that have been used over the years to identify and rally supporters for a cause. The cause is usually a protest or political movement against current conditions. With the increase in anti-globalization recently, the symbols of anarchy are starting to reappear.
The black cat was designed by Ralph Chaplin, a prominent figure of the IWW, also known as the Wobblies. The movement started in 1905 and continued through the early 1920's until it was suppressed by the Justice Department under J. Edgar Hoover. It signified wildcat strikes and radical unionism. The symbol has also been associated with witchcraft, bad omens and death.
The black flag has been a symbol of anarchy since the 1880s. It symbolizes defiance and opposition to surrender. The flag has been used by groups opposed to representation. The black flag has also been used in many protests against oppression. It was used by pirates to indicate the lives of a crew would be spared if they surrendered. It was also used during the French and Russian Revolutions by certain protest groups. It is still used today by anarchical movements.
The circled A, where the A stands for anarchy, is one of the best known present day symbols. It was developed by Giuseppe Fanelli, a Freemason, in 1868 and later adopted as a symbol of anarchy. The symbol became a part of the punk rock movement in the 1970's. It was used by the band, Sex Pistols, to signify the punk rock style of music. Although used as a marketing ploy, it increased the awareness of anarchy.
The black cross is a symbol representing a movement to eliminate all prisons. The symbol originated in Russia to support political prisoners. It was adopted by anarchists to signify unity of purpose. The cross was modified from the symbol for the Red Cross to avoid confusion with the Red Cross. It has been associated with black power, women's lib, youth power and the American Indian Movement.
Known as a symbol of piracy, the jolly roger or the skull and cross bones has gained popularity as a symbol of anarchy. Originally used by the Libertatain pirates, it signifies a pirate's way of life free from repressive societies. It has gained popularity with many anarchical movements.
The anarchist symbol, circled A, with a V represents the political philosophy of animal liberation. The philosophy also known as veganism excludes the use of animals for food, clothing or other uses. It was popularized in 1995 by Brian Dominick and is used by animal rights groups. People who actively support this movement are against killing any animal and have strict vegetarian diets.
Other symbols of anarchy not shown above are the wooden shoe, black rose and bisected flags and stars. Each symbol has been used to represent a political movement or protest throughout the world. Depending on the cause, an organization will adapt or create a symbol that best represents it's philosophy.
Frank Loethen - live in Georgia with wife and three cats. If you enjoyed this article, please visit my cat products website, [http://www.purrfectcatproducts.com], for all your cat and kitten needs. Cat toys, cat treats, cat beds and litter accessories are among the many items on the site

Tuesday, 7 April 2015

Sadiq Gill - The Balance of Power

By 

Today, the world is saturated with ignorance and hatred where the Mid-East is center stage of the escalating violence and terror that has spread around the globe. It is as though mankind has forgotten the lessons that history is supposed to teach us. We now find ourselves trying to find a recognizable peaceful resolution to the ongoing splintering of nations, religions, and cultures. But, in order to do so we first have to embark on a journey back in time to 2000 B.C. The story of Abraham is vital to understand what is necessary to gain a peaceful resolution to the ongoing escalating terror that has cost so many lives, splintered nations, and destroyed priceless artifacts of history. What is important to remember today is that Muslims, Christians, and Jews all regard themselves as the spiritual offspring of their patriarch, Abraham. Abraham, is revered as a symbol of loving kindness, and peace.
History though has seen more blood spilled and lives lost because of the many divisions and battles between religious elements. Need we remind us that the fuel to keep these fires of violent aggression against one another burning comes from an unquenchable thirst for power, control, and wealth. Whether today it is the onslaught brought on by ISIS and the many other fanatics that are hell bent on asserting their evil intentions on mankind we would be mindful to recount the lessons that Abraham brought into the world over 4000 years ago.
In ancient Mesopotamia as in the Middle East today armed conflict continues to ravage people and nations. But, is was around 2000 B.C. an event occurred that profoundly influenced the course of history. It was Abraham's first son who foreshadowed the emergence of a new religion, Islam. Some 2700 years latter Muhammad and the Koran called Abraham's first son an apostle of Islam. Today, Muhammad is recognized as the last of the prophets dating back to Adam, Noah, Abraham, Moses and Jesus.
The history of religions began with Abraham. But, it was his first son that brought forth the Islamic religion Centuries later Muhammad in the year 610, who embraced Abraham's ideology of the one god, Allah the Islamic religion began it's major influence in the Middle East. For the next hundred years the Muslim religion expanded it's influence until it covered the entire Arabian Peninsula. By the late 17th century the Muslims expanded their influence to cover not only the Middle East but reached into southern Europe. And, in doing so acquired the world's greatest military force. Islam by that time achieved acclaimed advances in architecture, art, law, mathematics and science. Successfully converting millions to Islam.
When we take a close look at all the terrorists attacks that have set the world on fire because of a faith where a leader is seeking more control, power, and wealth from others we should trace back in history to find the root cause. And, from that hopefully find an applicable end to all the carnage that has only continued to escalate today between the Islamic religion, Christianity. and Judaism
What we are seeing today is an extension and a continuation of what was started over nine hundred years ago. The ideologies of two distinctly different faiths and cultures in a world that has only gotten much closer has made that hotbed of hate and indignation flare up into a firestorm of flames of destruction and death. The intolerance by individuals for other cultures and beliefs have manifested into the horrific carnage we are witness to practically everyday.
Today, what we are seeing is the Islamic religion and culture is almost the complete opposite of the American society and way of life. The evolution, if you want to call it that, into a society that has relinquished many moral values that the Islamic faith still hold dear has only exasperated the continuing conflicts between nations and existing cultures.
The world is getting to small to handle all the violent will full carnage against one another. When intolerance of different religious beliefs continues to escalate into bloodshed, where nations cannot realize that humanity has the abilities capable of doing extraordinary things for the betterment of mankind, when we don't realize that each human being is a unique individual, and when religious beliefs of individuals don't conform to the rest of a society beliefs all contribute to the on going struggle to find answers to stop individuals from using violent means to impose their will on others.
What we know today there is an unequal balance of power where certain nations have more military powers especially nuclear capabilities while others don't, specifying the mistrust nations have against each other. Compounding this is the Jihad against Western cultures and their influence. It is this Jihad against the West that has aroused the many irresponsible reactions from the United States that has only accelerated counter responses to the point now more military action is the only recourse. The United States is mostly to blame by our intervention combative foreign policy decisions and actions. Achieving a balance in power through-out the Middle East is essential in quelling much of the terrorism that has arisen out of so much inequality.
To help ease the tensions and bring about a kind of resolution that would have the result of peaceful coexistence centers on the availability of every nation be equally equipped with nuclear capabilities. In exchange for a peaceful non aggressive pact Israel would oversee Saudi Arabia and Turkey acquisition of equal nuclear capabilities to other nations. Iran, Pakistan, and India would now be on the same footing as with the other nations in the Mid-East. This follows and analogy that proved quite successful in the Old West of American heritage where the balance of power prove quite equal with the advent of the Colt 45.
The lessons we should have learned from history are too often ignored or deemed not relevant to the times of today but sadly the after effects of what we should have learned have had deadly repercussions that have reverberated across the globe. What Abraham taught us is that there can be peaceful coexistence between clamorous communities of diverse ideologies, ethnic origins, faiths and cultures. Society can be as different as night and day while co-exiting quite peacefully. Achieving that in the Mid-East today requires a balance of equality not only militarily but of society as well. Using the history of the Middle East from the time of Abraham through the Crusades, up to today and understand the impact of what each period had is essential to securing the future for all.

Friday, 6 March 2015

Sadiq Gill - Is the Anarchy Related to India?

The elaborate diplomatic dance between India and Pakistan has been interrupted once again. The two sides remain far from a major breakthrough in their troubled relationship. As long as the Pakistani Army continues to view India as an existential threat and maintains its grip over security policy, the twain may never achieve permanent peace.
India has called off the meeting between its Foreign Secretary Sujata Singh and her Pakistani counterpart Aizaz Chaudhry scheduled for August 25 in Islamabad, after Pakistan’s High Commissioner in Delhi met Kashmiri separatist leaders. This has ended the euphoria following Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif’s journey to New Delhi for the inauguration of Prime Minister Narendra Modi last May. Pakistan’s decision to remind Indians of their dispute over Kashmir followed Modi’s comments about Pakistani support for terrorism during a recent visit to Kargil, where the two countries fought a war in 1999.
Both Sharif and Modi spoke of the need to bury the hatchet during their meeting on occasion of Modi’s inauguration. But the expressions of desire for normalization could not contain the more substantive problems in the India-Pakistan relationship. India remains unhappy over Pakistan’s failure to prosecute terrorists involved in the 2008 Mumbai attacks. Sharif, on the other hand, must deal with hardliners in Pakistan’s military who insist on seeing India as their country’s permanent enemy – unwilling to look too closely at the terrorists involved in the attack.
For India, the 26/11 Mumbai attacks were as much a challenge  as the 9/11 assault was for Americans. The 12 coordinated shootings and bombings carried out by ten Pakistani terrorists killed 164 people and terrorized India’s commercial capital for almost three days before commandos flushed them out of various buildings, including five-star hotels and a Jewish Community Center. The images of the attacks, telecast live into Indian homes, are seared in the memory of most Indians.
During the May inauguration, Sharif and Modi spoke of the need for India and Pakistan to bury the hatchet.
Although Pakistan arrested several individuals involved in planning and executing the Mumbai attacks, prosecution has been repeatedly delayed. Intelligence reports, including some from US sources, have indicated that the detained commanders of Lashkar-e-Taiba, or LeT, enjoy amenities not available to prisoners. Some have been found passing instructions on the phone to operatives. Recently, their trial was once again postponed without recording  evidence or other substantive proceedings.
LeT chief Hafiz Muhammad Sayeed remains free, appearing on television spouting venom against India, Israel and the United States from his massive headquarters near Lahore. Indian officials read Pakistan’s refusal to prosecute the 26/11 accused or clamp down on Hafiz Sayeed as a sign of reluctance in shutting down anti-India jihadi groups.
In July Pakistan’s military launched a military operation against terrorist safe havens along its border with Afghanistan, yet the Pakistani state is far from shutting down the jihadi infrastructure built since the 1980s war against the Soviets in Afghanistan and the subsequent militant uprising in Kashmir during the 1990s.
The Pakistani military continues to seek military advantage against India even though the possession of nuclear weapons by both countries should deter the prospect of war. Jihadis offer a sub-conventional deterrent to Pakistan against India’s overwhelming advantage in conventional military capability. Most Pakistani civilian politicians recognize the dangers of reliance on terrorism as an element of Pakistan’s strategic planning, but the military retains tight control over foreign and national security policy despite return to civilian rule in 2008.
Like his civilian predecessor Asif Ali Zardari, Sharif has declared normalization of relations with India as a priority. Zardari’s government tried to open travel and trade and, in 2011, agreed to Most Favored Nation status for India. Despite completion of legal formalities, the status has not yet been granted, demonstrating behind-the-scenes military influence.
Most Pakistani civilian politicians recognize danger in relying on terrorism as an element of strategic planning.
After his election last year, Sharif renewed talk of normalizing relations with India, with special emphasis on trade. India and Pakistan have a combined population of 1.4 billion, share a 2,000-mile border and a common history until 1947. Their languages are mutually understandable, and parts of their populations have overlapping ethnicity. There is also significant complementarity in the two neighbors’ economies. Still, trade between them amounted to only $2.6 billion last year, less than 0.5 percent of India’s total commerce. As a businessman, Sharif says he understands the benefit of freer trade between the two countries.
Rhetoric and expressions of desire for more trade notwithstanding, security remains the overarching consideration in India-Pakistan ties.
Sharif’s participation in Modi’s inauguration was billed as the first time a Pakistani prime minister had attended such celebrations in India – an opportunity for laying foundations of a new relationship between India and Pakistan. The prospect of a new beginning, however, was soon undermined by incidents of firing along the Line of Control in Jammu and Kashmir. The two countries have fought for the control of Kashmir since 1947.
According to Indian officials, Pakistan has violated the ceasefire in the disputed territory 54 times this year through July 16 and 19 times since the Modi government took office May 26. Defense Minister Arun Jaitley told parliament recently that Pakistan violated the ceasefire agreement 199 times last year. Pakistan flatly denies reports of these incidents just as it denies support for jihadi groups operating in Kashmir though they operate in full view of Pakistani and international media.
There are many logical reasons for why and how Indian-Pakistan ties can be normalized. Psychological, not logical, factors have held the relationship back so far. Since the country’s birth through India’s partition in 1947, Pakistanis have sought to define their national identity through denial of commonality with India.
Disputes, such as the one over Jammu and Kashmir, have over the years become more symptom than cause of tensions in the subcontinent. At the heart of the problem is Pakistan’s carefully nurtured national narrative and state ideology, diametrically opposed to India’s view of itself as the region’s preeminent power.
Two nations share a 2,000-mile border and common history. Pakistanis seek national identity by denying ties with India.
Since independence, Pakistanis have been told, and with greater vehemence since 1977 with the rule of military dictator Muhammad Zia ul-Haq, that their country is a “citadel of Islam,” that its destiny is to be an Islamic State and its army is “the sword of Islam.” Advocates of modern, secular values,  even pluralism, are denigrated as “enemies of the ideology of Pakistan,” therefore cast as “traitors to Pakistan.” Pakistan’s establishment, led by its military, also seeks parity with India, not only in the legal sense of sovereign equality between nations but in military and political terms.
This ideological milieu has helped religious-political groups exercise greater influence on national discourse than is justified by either the size of their membership or number of votes in Pakistan’s sporadic general elections and led to the outgrowth of jihadi groups, one more extreme than the other.
Pakistan’s state ideology has undermined prospects for peace with India since 1950, when Pakistani Prime Minister Liaquat Ali Khan travelled to Delhi and signed the first major agreement. The optimism about the agreement died within a year with the assassination of its Pakistani signatory. Pakistan has since gone through years of political instability while the army has gained influence in policymaking.
Over the years, Pakistan participated in US-led anti-communist military alliances to secure military hardware that would enable it to deal with a larger, ostensibly hostile neighbor. It has fought four wars with India, including the one in 1971 resulting in the creation of Bangladesh, leaving Pakistan with half its 1947 territory. Although Pakistan has acquired nuclear-weapons capability, its insecurity in relation to India has not diminished.
Soon after independence, Pakistan’s founder Muhammad Ali Jinnah had said that he expected India and Pakistan to live alongside each other like Canada and the United States. But as long as Pakistan’s establishment continues to paint India as an existential threat and a permanent enemy in the minds of its people, no Pakistani leader –civilian or military –can embrace the Canada-US model. For now, the two sides will maintain their well-worn pattern of diplomatic engagement interspersed with periods of intense hostility.

Tuesday, 24 February 2015

Sadiq Gill - Karachi is the Tell-Tale Sign of the Coming Anarchy

Pakistan’s commercial capital, Karachi, is no stranger to politically motivated violence. Since the mid 1980’s, when the MQM erupted on the political firmament of Karachi, political violence had pretty much come to be accepted as an integral part of the city’s life. But in recent years, the violence has acquired the form of an almost institutionalised anarchy, what with political turf battles and ethnic animosities getting entwined with criminal syndicates, sectarian mafias and Islamic terror groups. It would perhaps not be too far-fetched to say that if Karachi is a microcosm of Pakistan, then the violence in that city exemplifies the creeping anarchy that threatens to engulf the entire country. Indeed, like in rest of Pakistan, in Karachi the lines between ethnic, political, sectarian, jihadist and criminal violence have become so blurred that no one knows anymore who is killing whom and for what purpose.

The latest paroxysm of violence in the city occurred after unidentified gunmen shot dead a MQM legislator, Raza Haider, inside a mosque on August 2. Within minutes of the assassination, Karachi descended into chaos. In a four day long orgy of violence, more than a 100 people died, scores of shops and vehicles were burnt down, and the entire business activity ground to a halt which cost the economy around Rs 10 billion. The motive behind the murder remains unclear – was Haider killed because he was a Shia? was his killing the outcome of the growing tension between the Mohajir MQM and the Pashtun ANP)? was the killing a result of some underworld deal gone awry? was it a deliberate attempt by agent provocateurs to instigate violence in the city and thereby not only destabilise the coalition government but also disrupt NATO supply lines that run from Karachi to Kabul and Kandahar. What is clear, however, is the ease with which armed gangs can hold the city hostage for days without any let or hindrance from the law enforcement agencies.

Leaving aside the high profile nature of the killing, the fact is that Haider’s murder is part of the phenomenon of ‘target killing’ that has manifest itself in Karachi for a number of years now. Initially, the victims of target killings were generally police officers who had been involved in extra-judicial killings of thousands of MQM activists in the mid 1990’s. Later, workers of the break-away faction of the MQM started becoming casualties of target killings. But since around 2008, the phenomenon of target killing has acquired a more sinister form. Political workers and activists of almost all the political parties started being targeted. Worse, ordinary people who probably had nothing to do with politics started being gunned down for no other reason except for their ethnic origins.

It is commonly argued that this sort of target killing in which around 350 people have been killed in the first seven months of the current year was being carried out by the militant wings kept by all the major political parties. While there is as yet no evidence to corroborate this argument, the theory is that Karachi is in the midst of a political turf war between the various political parties, who are targeting each others’ workers to either impose or maintain their dominance in various localities of the city. Further, since much of Karachi’s politics centres on ethnic mobilisation, ordinary people are targeted on the basis of their ethnic background in order to discourage them from settling in the city and changing the demographic balance. If indeed this is the case, then this is more like a civil war than a political turf war.

The political nature of target killings has induced a stasis among the law enforcement agencies. Political compulsions of the ruling PPP, which depends on MQM for survival in Islamabad and is a coalition partner of the ANP in Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa, is just one of the obstacles preventing a crackdown to put a stop to politically motivated target killings. The nexus between the political class and the powerful criminal syndicates involved in narcotics, gun-running, land-grabbing, protection, extortion, kidnapping and contract killing rackets is another very big obstacle in cleaning up Karachi. While the politicians rely upon these criminal syndicates (most of them organised along ethnic lines) to settle political scores and raise funds for political activities, the underworld not only enjoys the patronage and protection of the political class but also thrives in unsettled conditions that exist in the city.

Rather than confront the growing rot in the system, the political leadership has ducked the issue by finding a convenient scapegoat in sectarian organisations which too have been indulging in targeting members of rival sects. For instance, Pakistan's Interior Minister, Rehman Malik, has blamed the Sunni extremist group Sipah-e-Sahaba Pakistan and its militant wing Lashkar-e-Jhangvi for the killing of Raza Haider. But even if the SSP or LeJ were involved in Haider’s killing, it doesn’t explain who was responsible for the slaying the 100 after Haider’s murder. While Malik has blamed the un-named ‘third force’ and ‘enemies of Pakistan’ wanting to destabilise the country for the killings, the MQM has squarely held ANP responsible for Haider’s killing. On its part, the ANP has blamed MQM for the butchery that followed the assassination, in which most of the people who were victims of targeted killings were Pashtuns.

This is not to deny the fact that sectarian terrorist groups are very active in Karachi and have been plying their murderous trade for years. One manifestation of their activity has been the systematic gunning down of over a 100 Shia doctors. In retaliation, workers of SSP have been targeted by suspected Shi’ite militant groups. The sectarian violence is not limited to the Shia-Sunni divide but has also been seen between militant organisations of Sunni sects like Barelvis, Deobandis and Ahle Hadith. Compounding the confusion are reports that some of the sectarian target killings might have been the handiwork of the militants wings of political parties either to settle political or personal scores or even to check the growth and influence of sectarian groups.

Yet another layer of violence in Karachi has been added by the radical mosques and madrassas that dot the city and have provided the underpinning for Pakistan's flourishing jihad industry. It is not for nothing that Karachi has gained the reputation of being a hub of jihadist militias, a sort of terror central in which terror cells and modules proliferated. Almost all major jihadist groups have their networks, cells and modules in the city, many of which work in conjunction with al Qaeda and Taliban. In addition, the Islamist terror groups have also developed a mutually beneficial relationship with the criminal syndicates. Not surprisingly, over the years, Karachi has emerged as a sort of terror central which not only serves as a transit point for domestic and international jihadists, but is also a critical base for the jihad industry, providing recruits, resources and refuge to the jihadist groups.

In order to not attract too much attention to their activities, the jihadists have been lying low for quite some time now in Karachi, quietly building up their presence and strength all the time. But with its ears to the ground, the MQM, which is probably the only political party in Pakistan which is implacably opposed to the Taliban, has for long been warning about the rising talibanisation of Karachi. Although these warnings have been dismissed by many people as being too alarmist, as also being politically motivated to stem the influx of Pashtuns into the city, a number of Taliban cells and modules have been busted by the police in the last few months.

For the Taliban / al Qaeda, Karachi has critical strategic importance – shut down the city and you shut down the NATO supply lines which run from Karachi to Kabul and Kandahar. Close to 60% of NATO logistics supplies land at the Karachi Port and Port Qasim from where they are transported by road to Afghanistan. Until now, the NATO supply convoys have been attacked in upcountry Pakistan, including on the outskirts of Islamabad. All that has happened in Karachi is that transporters have been threatened to decline carrying NATO cargo. At the same time, the Islamist terror groups in Karachi have kept the city on the edge by indulging in low level violence and the occasional bomb attack. But this could change practically overnight if the jihadists exploit the existing political, ethnic and sectarian fault-lines in the city by provoking large scale violence through target killings. And it is quite possible that Raza Haider’s murder was a test case to see the efficacy of the strategy of shutting down Karachi.

Adding to the murkiness are the suspicions that the infamous intelligence agencies like ISI and MI might be also indulging in some of the target killings either directly or through the Islamist and criminal mafias’, many of which are known to have enjoyed a close working relationship with the intelligence establishment. The objective could be either to destabilise the government and/or remove from the scene some inconvenient people.

Given the multiplicity of players involved, restoring some semblance of law and order in Karachi seems to be a rather tall task, way beyond the intellectual or administrative capacity of the civilian government. But the civilian government is extremely reluctant to call in the army to clean up the mess, because doing so will be an acknowledgement of the complete failure of politicians, which in turn will have serious repercussions for the existing political dispensation in Pakistan. The continuing drift will however only worsen the problem in Karachi, which like the rest of Pakistan, is now waiting tensely for that one spark that will conflagrate the whole place.